AISIX Solutions Inc. Identifies Top Ten Small Ontario Municipalities at Risk of Wildfires
Vancouver, British Columbia – February 12th, 2025 – AISIX Solutions Inc., (“AISIX” or “the Company”) (TSXV: AISX) (OTCQB: AISXF) (FSE: QT7), a leader in AI-driven climate data analytics, has released an innovative analysis highlighting the top ten small Ontario municipalities (<30,000 people) at risk of wildfires given historical conditions and the top ten small Ontario municipalities with highest increase in wildfire probability given the fifth Shared Socioeconomic Pathway (SSP5) climate change scenario by 2050.
“In this AISIX analysis, we observe higher burn probabilities primarily due to climate change, which extends fire seasons through rising temperatures and drier fuel conditions,” said Dr. Gio Roberti, Head of Product at AISIX. He adds “AISIX’s wildfire data provides unique insights into fire behavior, enabling users to grasp both current and future fire trends”.
“We are dedicated to supporting wildfire risk mitigation efforts by providing the most precise data available” said Mihalis Belantis, CEO of AISIX Solutions Inc. “By pinpointing these high-risk areas, our goal is to help stakeholders take essential measures to reduce the risk of loss of life and property”.
AISIX’s Wildfire data is essential for identifying high-risk areas by analyzing historical wildfire behavior and projecting future patterns shaped by climate change. Recognizing these shifts is crucial, as changing fire dynamics are placing more regions—including those once considered less vulnerable to severe wildfires—at greater risk.
The Top Ten small Ontario municipalities are ranked by AISIX as follows:
- Red Lake
- Sioux Lookout
- Kirkland Lake
- Greenstone
- Markstay
- Chapleau
- Carling
- Kenora
- Cobalt
- Espanola
Figure 1 Top Ten small Ontario municipalities at risk of wildfires given historical conditions (BP = Burn Probability)
The Top Ten small Ontario municipalities with highest increase in wildfire probability given Share Socioeconomic Pathways (SSP) 5 climate change scenarios by 2050 ranked by AISIX:
- Assiginack
- South River
- Huron Shores
- Trent Lakes
- Central Manitoulin
- Elliot Lake
- North Kawartha
- Gravenhurst
- Carling
- McDougall
Figure 2 Top ten small Ontario municipalities with highest increase in wildfire probability given Share Socioeconomic Pathways (SSP) 5 climate change scenarios by 2050. (BP = Burn Probability).
Figure 3 Map of Canada showing wildfire burn probabilities (yellow to red colours), and the top ten small Ontario municipalities at risk of wildfires given historical conditions and with highest increase in wildfire probability given Share Socioeconomic Pathways (SSP) 5 climate change scenarios by 2050.
The analysis considers aggregated 30-year burn probabilities within the municipality boundary as portrayed by AISIX Wildfire dataset. AISIX utilizes advanced machine learning, physical based-modeling and climate change projections to pinpoint locations facing the highest wildfire probability. AISIX’s wildfire data workflow includes the application of Cell2Fire2, an advancement of BurnP3+, and simulates wildfire behaviour at the country scale according to historic and projected change in climate patterns.
The analysis shows long term trends rather than year-to-year specific conditions and highlights burn probability hotspots given historical conditions* in Western Ontario with Red Lake, Sioux Lookout, Kirkland Lake, Greenstone, Markstay, Chapleau, and in Eastern Ontario with Carling, Kenora, Cobalt, and Espanola (Figure 3).
While the highest burn probabilities are concentrated in Western Ontario, the location that will experience the most increase of wildfire probability is in the south-eastern part of the province. In fact, when considering burn probability increase according to SSP5 climate change scenario in 2050, the hotspots are Assiginack, South River, Huron Shores, Trent Lakes, Central Manitoulin, Elliot Lake, North Lawartha, Gravenhurst, Carling (note that Carling is also in the top ten given historical conditions list), and McDougall.
NOTES:
*Some recent forest disturbances are not yet included in the model.
Urgent Call To Action For Communities At Risk:
Wildfires are no longer just a possibility—they’re a growing reality for small Ontario municipalities. AISIX Solutions has identified the communities most at risk today and those that will face the greatest wildfire threats by 2050.
Is your municipality prepared?
- Identify your risk – Get access to AI-powered wildfire data to understand your community’s vulnerability.
- Plan for resilience – Use predictive analytics to strengthen fire prevention, emergency response, and land-use planning.
- Protect lives & property – Take proactive measures before disaster strikes.
- This is a turning point. Waiting is not an option. Equip your community with the insights needed to act now.
📩 Contact AISIX Solutions today at info@aisix.ca or visit www.aisix.ca to learn how we can support your wildfire preparedness and mitigation efforts.
Together, we can build a safer, more resilient future.
For more information about AISIX Solutions and its climate risk solutions, please visit their website, www.aisix.ca, or connect on Twitter/X or LinkedIn.
About AISIX Solutions
AISIX Solutions, is a leading global climate risk and data-analytics solutions provider trusted by organizations seeking a more predictive future. Leveraging the advancements of artificial intelligence, data analytics, and risk assessment, AISIX Solutions is on a mission to provide auditable, explainable, and defensible assessments to help businesses and communities protect their property, assets, and infrastructure from climate-related risks. By empowering organizations with real-time insights, AISIX Solutions aims to foster resilience and sustainability in the face of climate change.
For further information:
Mihalis Belantis, Chief Executive Officer
+1 (604) 620-1051
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