AISIX Solutions Identifies Top 10 Canadian Small Population Centres at Risk of Wildfires given historical fire patterns and top 10 Canadian Small Population Centres with highest increase in wildfire probability given climate change
Vancouver, British Columbia – January 2nd, 2025 – AISIX Solutions Inc., (“AISIX” or “the Company”) (TSXV: AISX) (OTCQB: AISXF) (FSE: QT7), a leader in AI-driven data analytics, has released an innovative report highlighting the top 10 Canadian Small Population Centres (< 30,000 people) most at risk of wildfires given historical conditions and top 10 Canadian Small Population Centres (< 30,000 people) with highest increase in wildfire probability given Share Socioeconomic Pathways (SSP) 5 climate change scenario by 2050. The analysis considers burn probabilities within 10 km from the population centre and AISIX’s wildfire dataset, produced with an advancement of BurnP3+ and simulates wildfire behaviour at the country scale according to historic and projected change in climate patterns. This comprehensive dataset utilizes advanced machine learning, physical based-modeling and climate change projections to pinpoint communities facing the highest wildfire probability.
The analysis shows concentration of population centres with high burn probabilities given historical conditions in western Canada, with hotspots in southeastern British Columbia (Clearwater, Sicamous, Sorrento, Chase, Nakusp, Grindrod, Castlegar), western and central Alberta (Swan Hills) and Northwest Territories (Hay River, Fort Smith) (Figure 1).
When considering SSP5 climate change scenario in 2050, we see communities in eastern Canada experiencing high increase in wildfire probability. According to the analysis, the communities with highest increase of wildfire probability are William Lakes, One Hundred Mile House, Jasper, Grande Cache in the West, and Plaster Rock, Southesk, Saint Marys, Minto and Maugerville in the East (Figure 1).
Figure 1 Map of Canada showing wildfire burn probabilities (yellow to red colours), top 10 Canadian Small Population Centres (< 30,000 people) most at risk of wildfires given historical conditions and top 10 Canadian Small Population Centres (< 30,000 people) with highest increase in wildfire probability given Share Socioeconomic Pathways (SSP) 5 climate change scenario by 2050. Note that the highest burn probabilities are concentrated in western Canada (British Columbia, Alberta and Northwest Territories), and that the locations that will experience to most increase of wildfire activity are in the East (Quebec and New Brunswick). BP = Burn Probability.
“With the growing severity of wildfires across the country, it’s vital that we improve our understanding of fire behaviour,” said Dr Gio Roberti. “AISIX’s wildfire dataset offers novel insights into fire behavior, empowering users to understand current and future fire patterns”
AISIX’s wildfire data, is not only designed to identify high-risk areas given past wildfire behaviour but also provides insights into future wildfire patterns given climate change. It is especially important to understand change in fire patterns because more communities will be at risk, also in regions that were not experiencing extreme fire behaviour in the past. This is especially important to help more proactive fire management strategies and community preparedness plans.
“We are committed to supporting fire management efforts with the most accurate data available,” added Mihalis Belantis, AISIX’s CEO. “By identifying these high-risk communities, we hope to aid government agencies, local authorities, and residents in taking the necessary precautions to prevent loss of life and property.”
As the wildfire season continues to lengthen and intensify in Canada, AISIX Solutions is urging communities across the country to use these data-driven insights to strengthen their fire prevention and emergency response strategies. With the right information and proactive action, the devastating impact of wildfires can be significantly reduced.
For more information about AISIX Solutions and its climate risk solutions, please visit their website, www.aisix.ca, or connect on Twitter/X or LinkedIn.
About AISIX Solutions
AISIX Solutions, is a leading global climate risk and data-analytics solutions provider trusted by organizations seeking a more predictive future. Leveraging the advancements of artificial intelligence, data analytics, and risk assessment, AISIX Solutions is on a mission to provide auditable, explainable, and defensible assessments to help businesses and communities protect their property, assets, and infrastructure from climate-related risks. By empowering organizations with real-time insights, AISIX Solutions aims to foster resilience and sustainability in the face of climate change.
For further information:
Mihalis Belantis, Chief Executive Officer
+1 (604) 620-1051
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